
Bond Vigilantes Return as Yields Punch Through Danger Zone
The US 30-year Treasury yield climbed above 5.2% last week, its highest since July 2007, with 30-year yields in Canada, Germany, France, Spain and Switzerland also hitting 12-month highs. Inflation has stayed sticky, with US CPI at 3.8% and PPI at 6%, pushing the implied odds of a Fed rate hike before year-end from under 10% in January to above 40%. A Bank of America survey found 62% of fund managers now expect 30-year yields to reach 6% this year, a level last seen in 1999. Higher yields threaten the AI buildout in particular, where more than $1tn of largely floating-rate debt funds capex that is outrunning revenue.
SpaceX Targets $2tn IPO With Money-Furnace Stapled On
SpaceX has filed to raise at least $80bn in what would be the largest IPO in history, targeting a valuation near $2tn ahead of a June 12 debut. The filing shows 2025 revenue of $19bn and a Q1 net loss of $4.3bn on $4.7bn in sales, with cash falling from $25bn to $16bn in 90 days as xAI losses ballooned to $6.4bn on $3.2bn of revenue. At $2tn the company would trade above 100 times trailing sales while growing 15%, against Nvidia at under 22 times sales growing 85%. Roughly 30% of the allocation has been reserved for retail investors, triple the typical IPO share.
James Murdoch Buys New York Mag and Vox Podcasts for $300m
James Murdoch has acquired New York Magazine and the Vox Media Podcast Network in a deal valued at around $300m, leaving Vox's web properties including Eater, Vulture and SB Nation independent for now. The podcast network is the prize: US podcast ad revenue grew 26% in 2024 to $2.9bn, making it the fastest-growing ad-supported medium outside Meta and Alphabet. The deal caps a brutal decade for digital media peers, with Vice bankrupt and CNET, Mic and Mashable each losing more than 80% of their value.